Republicans fear their voters are losing enthusiasm
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Bill Stepien, the White House director of political affairs, has already attempted to lay groundwork shifting blame away from Trump should his party lose the House. Stepien argued in an internal memo obtained by Bloomberg that the GOP has been hindered by historical headwinds, a wave of incumbent retirements, and strong fundraising by Democratic challengers.
The extent to which the White House has written off holding the House is demonstrated in Trump’s travel schedule ahead of the election. He’ll hold 11 rallies in eight states, focusing primarily on competitive Senate races, according to a person familiar with his plans who briefed reporters on Monday.
Some White House officials have grown particularly nervous about Senate races in Florida, Missouri and Arizona — states that a month ago they were confident Republicans would win, one of the president’s outside advisers said. Trump will visit Florida and Missouri twice each before the election, beginning Wednesday in Fort Myers.
But he won’t visit Arizona at all. And in several states in which there are both competitive Senate and House districts, Trump is shunning swing districts in favour of areas where his support is strongest. For example, he is steering clear of the suburbs of St. Louis or the Miami area, where there are competitive House races, and he won’t make any stops in Michigan or Pennsylvania, two states that helped secure his 2016 victory.
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